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Igor Sabodakha

Wind Farm Investment Calculator

Base case

Fictional wind farm “Musterhöhe” · 5 × 6.3 MW · Hesse, Germany

Illustrative calculation — not investment, tax or legal advice. The wind farm is fictional. Data as of 30 Sept 2026.

How the model works →All sources →

Equity IRR 3.01%

In P90 and Downside the loan keeps its base-case size — the lender’s view after financial close.

Annual cash flows

€ million, nominal

  • Revenue
  • Opex
  • Taxes
  • Debt service
  • Distributions to owners
−50510202820332038204320482053

Debt service cover

CFADS ÷ debt service

  • Base
  • P90 (same loan)
0.01.02.03.04.0202820332038204320482053Target 1.20xCovenant 1.05x

Revenue per kWh

ct/kWh, nominal

  • Market value
  • Market premium
051015202820332038204320482053Anzulegender Wert (floor) 6.30

Debt service

€ million

  • Interest
  • Principal
00.511.522.5202820332038204320482053

Key facts

Capacity
31.5 MW
P50 full-load hours
2,439 h
Correction factor
1.316
Anzulegender Wert
6.30 ct/kWh
Commissioning
1 Jul 2028
EEG support ends
19 Oct 2049
Loan repaid
31 Dec 2046
End of life
1 Jul 2053
Loan limited by
P90 DSCR on the EEG floor
Lender case
lowest DSCR on the EEG floor: P50 1.27x, P90 1.00x

Sources & uses of funds

€ thousand · 36.7% gearing

Capex57,136
Upfront fee215
Commitment fees223
Interest during construction594
VAT bridge interest112
Debt service reserve288
Total uses58,568
Senior loan21,510
Equity37,058
Total sources58,568

Debt: €21.5m · Equity: €37.1m

A model by Igor Sabodakha · Every input has a public source or is marked as an assumption.